Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Where Do We Go From Here?

The Legislature has adjourned, but the dust from this session probably will not settle before next year's session begins. Louisiana, like many other states, is at a critical crossroads. Two governors and two different Legislatures significantly overspent volatile oil and gas revenues in the two years prior to the current one. That was the major cause of the budget crisis state government faced this year. The problem is easy to identify. Simply go back to the decision made under the Blanco administration to fully fund the Rainy Day Trust Fund and allow skyrocketing oil and gas revenues to flow into the state general fund where they could be spent on recurring expenditures. That is exactly what the Legislature did in Governor Blanco's last year and again in Governor Jindal's first year in office. This year, the chickens came home to roost. Unfortunately, even more chickens will be looking for roosting space in the next few years.

Last Thursday, the head of the Congressional Budget Office told Congress that the federal budget is unsustainable going forward with current spending levels-much less the increases being proposed. Some well-credentialed fiscal guru needs to give our governor and Legislature the same message.

In addition to Louisiana's declining revenue problem, the federal government has informed us that, due to a temporary upward blip in personal income, we will be paid $1 billion less in Medicaid money next year. Our state leaders are on their knees begging for mercy from that decision, but there is a strong likelihood that their pleas will go unanswered. Compounding the problem is the fact that in two years, hundreds of millions in "stimulus" dollars will no longer be coming from Washington. The time to plan for that is now, not two years from now.

Another ominous sign on the horizon is the very negative attitude the Obama administration and the majority in Congress is showing toward the oil and gas industry. The industry is facing a drastic increase in taxes and more restrictions on domestic exploration and production. If domestic oil and gas activity is curtailed by new federal laws and regulations, our state revenue picture will become even bleaker.

Governor Jindal is first up at bat in addressing these problems since he must submit an executive budget proposal to the Legislature early next year. What the governor submits in his annual executive budget usually provides the basic blueprint for what comes out of the process. Certainly, the governor can't expect any increase in revenues coming from natural growth in the foreseeable future. That being the case, he will supply the early vision as to how state government must be reconfigured to match appropriate spending levels with real-world revenue projections. His executive budget should also clearly indicate what his spending priorities will be.

The executive and legislative branches should not wait for next year to begin reshaping the delivery of state services to match new revenue realities. Close scrutiny should be given to state funding of local government services, consolidation of functions in post-secondary education, civil service reforms that would enhance state government's ability to consolidate its workforce, and other spending reforms that would reduce the expense side of the state fiscal ledger.

It was fun to be governor or a legislator in the revenue-boom years after the hurricanes when recovery money was flowing and oil and gas prices were setting records. The party is now over. It is time to clean up the excesses and make government work as best as possible with the revenues that are available. That is what families are doing all across Louisiana. Their elected leaders should follow suit.

Thursday, July 9, 2009

Action Picks Up In Washington

By Dan Juneau


Major committees in Congress are moving quickly—some would say too quickly—on legislation that will have a great impact on our health and our pocketbooks. The bills that are advancing are quite momentous. If they were being shaped by sound, well-researched analysis, perhaps the proposals wouldn’t be as scary. Unfortunately, much of the health care and energy legislation is being developed more by deal-cutting than by what works in the real world.

The health care legislation is a prime example. The cost estimates for the bills being shaped in various committees range from $1 trillion to $3.5 trillion over a 10-year period. With the budget deficit for next year already slated to be almost $2 trillion, even the spend-happy Congress is under pressure to pay for whatever is proposed and not simply add the cost to the ever-increasing federal deficit.

One of the major taxes being discussed to pay for the health care bills is a tax on employer-provided health insurance. Such a tax could raise almost $500 billion to offset the cost of covering more of the uninsured and underinsured. The problem is it could blow a hole in the foundation of our health care system that is based on coverage paid for all or in part by employers.

Some of the loudest critics of this tax proposal are the labor unions that have negotiated labor contracts with Cadillac benefits largely paid for by their employers. The staunch opposition of the unions is leaving its mark. One of the major Senate proposals now calls for creating an exemption from this tax for—you guessed it!—labor unions. If such a plan passes, non-union workers could be subject to having their employer-provided health insurance premium payments taxed as ordinary income.

That means that, in addition to the regular income tax rate they are subject to applying to this benefit, they would have to pay Medicare and Medicaid taxes on the amount as well. Their employers would also have to pay their share of the Medicare and Medicaid taxes. Non-union employers and employees would have to pay the tax while their union counterparts would escape the burden.

Substituting politics for sound policy decisions is very much at play with the energy legislation under consideration in Congress as well. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi is determined to have “cap and trade” legislation—that would limit carbon dioxide emissions and drive up energy costs—enacted by the end of summer.

But Pelosi and Company ran into a wall of opposition from many members of their own Democratic Caucus who are concerned about the economic impact of the legislation on their constituents. Particularly upset are farm state Democrats who believe the legislation could jeopardize their re-elections. The Waxman-Markey bill cannot pass without those key votes. So what happened? Deals were cut to placate the concerns of some but left the constituents of other congressmen (many in “Red States”) on the hook for paying potentially huge increases in energy costs.

This is no way to run a railroad. If a complete revamp of the nation’s health care system is a necessity, then everyone—union members included—should have to pick up the huge cost of paying for it. If significantly increased energy costs are the price that must be paid for reducing carbon dioxide emissions, then everyone in every region of the nation should have to bear those costs. There are sound reasons for opposing both the “cap and trade” legislation and the health care bills. Playing politics with who gets the bill for them only adds fuel to the fire.